|
What is the butterfly effect?
What is the "butterfly
effect?"
The butterfly effect is a
term used to describe the principles of nonlinearity and sensitivity to
initial conditions, which hold that a nonlinear equation can have solutions
that are irregular. The irregularity results in small changes being amplified
by the nonlinear nature of the system. This means that if the initial state
of the nonlinear system is changed only slightly, one cannot predict the
difference in how each system will evolve over time. One often-cited example
of the effects of nonlinearity and sensitivity to initial conditions was
given by the meterologist, Ed Lorenz. He explained, mathematically, why
predicting the weather with precision is impossible. Lorenz demonstrated
that two virtually identical weather systems will behave differently over
time due to their complex, nonlinear nature and due to inputs from the
environment that are infinitely small. He suggested, somewhat tongue-in-cheek,
that even the flapping wings of a butterfly could result in a tornado because
of nonlinear processes at work even with the smallest factors causing the
weather.
|